Research

Insight from inside the market

Regular analysis from the Nimwold research desk on machine learning in markets, digital-asset infrastructure and the evolving UK rulebook.

Latest analysis

Transformer models and regime detection in crypto markets

Why attention-based networks spot a shift in volatility regime earlier than recurrent models.

The UK cryptoasset regime: what changes for retail investors

How the FCA's framework for trading platforms and promotions is shaping a more transparent market.

Reading UK financial news with language models

Sentiment models scan headlines and social feeds to raise early alerts before prices react.

Bitcoin after the halving: what on-chain data says now

Wallet flows and miner behaviour point to the likely paths for the next phase of the cycle.

Algorithmic discipline in a falling market

Rules-based models stick to the plan when fear takes over human judgement.

Layer-two networks and the institutional money flow

Arbitrum, Optimism and zkSync are attracting a growing share of professional liquidity.

Reinforcement learning and smarter position sizing

Models that scale exposure to market volatility and to the risk cap you set.

Sterling stablecoins and the future of UK payments

Pound-backed tokens could reshape settlement and cross-border transfers.

Spotting market manipulation without human review

Clustering algorithms flag wash trading ahead of sharp price swings.

Keeping crypto records for HMRC: a practical checklist

What to log on every trade so that Capital Gains Tax reporting stays straightforward.

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